Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.026654 0.029228 0.031780 0.034495 0.037295 0.040095 0.043101
2025-01-19 0.020404 0.024447 0.028583 0.033102 0.037875 0.042745 0.048070
2025-01-26 0.017600 0.022679 0.028003 0.033934 0.040299 0.046879 0.054154
2025-02-02 0.014982 0.020760 0.026962 0.033991 0.041638 0.049629 0.058542
2025-02-09 0.012267 0.018466 0.025293 0.033168 0.041852 0.051016 0.061320
2025-02-16 0.010645 0.017255 0.024697 0.033406 0.043107 0.053423 0.065088
2025-02-23 0.009060 0.015948 0.023887 0.033313 0.043917 0.055273 0.068184
2025-03-02 0.007565 0.014621 0.022963 0.033014 0.044432 0.056742 0.070807
2025-03-09 0.006339 0.013521 0.022233 0.032875 0.045072 0.058301 0.073483
2025-03-16 0.004970 0.012102 0.021041 0.032141 0.044991 0.059020 0.075199
2025-03-23 0.004143 0.011334 0.020592 0.032235 0.045813 0.060710 0.077947
2025-03-30 0.003197 0.010287 0.019739 0.031808 0.046007 0.061669 0.079863
2025-04-06 0.002161 0.009036 0.018685 0.031255 0.046207 0.062814 0.082194
2025-04-13 0.001053 0.007375 0.017020 0.029947 0.045548 0.063026 0.083544
2025-04-20 0.000718 0.007029 0.017092 0.030752 0.047344 0.066000 0.087954
2025-04-27 0.000317 0.006311 0.016591 0.030808 0.048228 0.067913 0.091156
2025-05-04 0.000008 0.005221 0.015463 0.030017 0.048068 0.068604 0.092958
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004719 0.015155 0.030246 0.049102 0.070642 0.096251
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004111 0.014625 0.030156 0.049730 0.072192 0.098975
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003467 0.013971 0.029869 0.050094 0.073418 0.101313
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002943 0.013454 0.029735 0.050625 0.074819 0.103832
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002251 0.012542 0.029029 0.050429 0.075355 0.105351
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001910 0.012227 0.029119 0.051199 0.077005 0.108122